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Thursday, 27th October 2016
Jubilee's Game Plan to 2032 Spells Disaster for Kenya's Stability.

For the record, President Uhuru Kenyatta assumes he has already surpassed the constitutional threshold of 50 percent plus one in the forthcoming elections. He believes that what is merely left is to put the 2017 elections beyond the reach of the opposition- by putting the victory to more than 70 percent. His coat hangers think they have the opposition and Kenyans by their neck. How wrong? Make no mistake. Political Parties exist solely to capture power- that is a given.

But here’s why I differ with President Kenyatta and his nemesis- William Ruto- on their resolve to hold on to power, by hook or crook, up to 2032. First of all, Kenya is not a monarchy, there are so many able and capable leaders that deserve a chance to be President, and they will not rest until power is wrested from these two reckless Jubilee diehards that are drunk with power.

But more fundamentally, the fact is that leaders, or parties, cling to power when they have made a sovereign bond with their subjects. The benevolent dictator – which I assume is the aspiration of this Jubilee duo- make one pact with their people. It is that the subjects give up their civil liberties in exchange for super normal economic growth rates and improvement of the living standards of the people. The benevolent dictators of the so called Asian Tigers offer us a poignant lesson. Their 30 plus years grip on power came as no surprise. In a nutshell, this was their basic argument to their people in the mid 1960s; that give us political power, surrender your civil liberties to us, and in return, we shall grow your economy many times over. You shall never lack. Their people bought this bargain, and the rest, as they say, is history. The Asian Tiger countries enjoy some of the highest living standards in the world- even better than Western democracies.

A case in point- Singapore’s Lee Kuan Yew grew Singapore’s economy from a backwater port city to a thriving first world city state that many Westerners could only dream of. In return, during the 30 years of Lee Kuan Yew’s rule, Singapore’s electorate surrendered their civil liberties to the state, and he became an authoritarian but effective economic leader. Today, Singapore is one of the great financial centers of the world, rivaled only by New York, London, and Hong Kong.

Back home, President Kenyatta and DP Ruto are asking us to surrender our civil liberties to them for the next 20 years. But what do we get in return? That’s the big question. Where I differ with them is precisely that they have not given us anything in return for surrendering our freedoms and civil liberties to them. Can they grow Kenya’s economy to a trillion dollar economy in the next 20 years? I highly doubt. None of them looks like they have the gravitas and the mettle to grow our economy by double digits, let alone grow it ten fold.

Make no mistake, if we reelect Uhuru Kenyatta next year, William Ruto will demand nothing less than the Presidency in 2022. Isn’t that the surrender of our civil liberties? Knowing that someone is hell bent on winning power even if they do not merit it? It’s why I ask that we reject this duo in August 2017, precisely because they have not given us anything to hold on to us they ask us to surrender our civil liberties to them. By doing so, we shall have rejected a leadership that is based on tribalism, hate, and total exclusion of other Kenyans that chose not to worship at the altar of money and tribe.

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Thursday, 27 October 2016

Jubilee's Game Plan to 2032 Spells Disaster for Kenya's Stability.

For the record, President Uhuru Kenyatta assumes he has already surpassed the constitutional threshold of 50 percent plus one in the forthcoming elections. He believes that what is merely left is to put the 2017 elections beyond the reach of the opposition- by putting the victory to more than 70 percent. His coat hangers think they have the opposition and Kenyans by their neck. How wrong? Make no mistake. Political Parties exist solely to capture power- that is a given.

Wednesday, 26 October 2016

To win in 2017, The Opposition Must Refine Its Ground Game.

.The gospel truth is this. If millions of people attend your rallies but only a handful turn out to vote- you lose the election. This has nothing to do with the tyranny of numbers that Mutahi Ngunyi claims Jubilee has. Jubilee does not have more supporters than the opposition. What it does have is government machinery to help tilt the election to its favor. For the opposition to win then, it must not only defeat Jubilee, but bury it as well. In Africa, the only way to have your opponent bow out gracefully is to kick him out with a 70 percent plus margin of victory. This means that the opposition needs a new kind of rallying call to inspire a new hope for Kenya and for Africa, similar to the one we witnessed in 2002. In the aftermirth of the 2002 election, the conservative and respected publication, The Economist- described Kenya as a beacon of hope for the continent.

Tuesday, 25 October 2016

With Peter Kenneth Dropping his Presidential Bid- And Principles-The Casualty is William Ruto.

.Remember former President Moi? He was described as a passing cloud by the then dreaded Kiambu mafia. One that would not last for long as Vice President, let alone ascend to the Presidency. The likes of Nakuru Town MP Kihika Kimani openly called for the constitution to be changed so that Moi (as Vice President), could not automatically ascend to the Presidency. The former powerful attorney General, Charles Njonjo, had other ideas. He thought that Moi was a naïve politician that he could exploit, front, and then sit in the back as he pulled the strings and then wait for it to rain. What did we end up having? Not only was the Kiambu mafia purged, but Charles Njonjo set himself up for an early political retirement. It was too late in the game to discover that Moi was not the quiet and assumed politician he thought he was, but a cold and calculating one that could pounce at will and one that would go on to rule Kenya for 24 years.

Monday, 24 October 2016

For Kenya's democracy to flourish, we have to end the Kenyatta economic vampire machine.

.According to a Forbes magazine wealth report that was released in 2013, the Kenyatta family is worth about 400 million dollars. If we add illicit hidden money flows plus corruption money, this wealth could easily topple one billion dollars. In other words, President Kenyatta is richer than US President Barrack Obama, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, and British Prime Minster Teressa May all put together. You must not forget that these people run a combined economy of 17 trillion dollars, while Kenyatta runs a 100 billion dollar economy. In other words, they run an economy 170 times larger than the economy Kenyatta runs, and yet, they only have an annual income of $100,000 dollars (10 million shillings).  This just confirms that Africa is not poor in anyway, it just has thieves managing its affairs. Look, I love what Kenyan pundits’ say- that President Uhuru Kenyatta cannot steal because he already has enough money. This cannot be the premise on which we judge someone’s anti corruption credentials.

Saturday, 22 October 2016

In the wake of Uhuru Kenyatta eliminating Luos from the list of heroes, let's have a look at what would have been had Tom Mboya been President.

. One book opines that Kenya lost 30 years of progress as a result of the death of Tom Mboya in 1969. Another says that Kenya would have been Africa’s great center of knowledge, enterprise, and capital. But who was Tom Mboya really? What did Kenya forego as a result of his death? I was born in the early 1980s, so, I would not be able to give a personal or firsthand account of Tom Mboya the man. But what I do know, and from what I have read, is that after Tom Mboya’s death, Kenya’s nationhood collapsed. Tribalism was
entrenched. It became harder for one’s voice, regardless of ability and conviction, to reach across the aisle. The Luo and Kikuyu elites, the once formidable allies and founders of KANU, became great adversaries, sometimes even enemies.

Friday, 21 October 2016

Jubilee can only be eliminated by a Movement, Not by a Third Force.

.Many Kenyans are familiar with the term revolution- which implies total make over of a political system. After all, isn't this what our opposition politicians have always called for. But I would say that our opposition politicians are only half correct. What Kenya needs is a movement and not a revolution. Note, a movement is different from a revolution. You can chop off the head of a revolutionary, and you will have succeeded in bringing the revolution to a naught. Look at how Jubilee is chest thumping as they think that they have Cord’s Raila Odinga cornered.

Thursday, 20 October 2016

Jubilee Was Supposed to be a Party of Conservatives. It has Become a Party of Opportunists.

. How do you frame President Uhuru Kenyatta in terms of ideas? How do you try and place him within the scheme of global politics, where one is either a leftist, centrist, or a right wing politician? Of course, I will get the classical answer- TIA- This is Africa. That we don’t expect such parameters to define politics in Kenya and Africa.

Monday, 10 October 2016

The future of Kenya’s opposition is in the youth vote

Our political analysts and opinion makers are missing a big point. While they continue to be fixated on Kenya’s current political players, the fact is that the voting demographic in Kenya is rapidly changing. The youth vote, and particularly the voter under 25 years of age, has not been counted by any of the major political players. The youth do not consume newspaper, radio, TV, or the so called traditional media. Watching 7PM or 9 PM news is so yesterday to them. All the time, they are on Facebook, twitter, and instagram, interacting with youth across the world.

Friday, 7 October 2016

Let’s cultivate a culture of African incumbent Presidents losing and accepting election results.

In Africa, there is one unspoken truth. That an incumbent President never loses an election. In a 1991 phone call to Zambia’s founding President Kenneth Kaunda, the then DR Congo strongman Mobutu Sese Seko  wondered how Kenneth Kaunda could have lost an election that he had organised. The Zambian scenerio has never been repeated elsewhere in Africa. This essentially means that African incumbent Presidents view themselves as immortal and would never accept an election lose. But what makes these Presidents to think they are indefatigable?

Thursday, 6 October 2016

Uhuru Kenyatta should have fixed Kenya’s Political Stability First.

Let’s tune back to January 2003. President Mwai Kibaki instituted the free Primary education on day one. He built Kenyan roads like never before. Kenyan media airwaves were liberalized with hundreds of FM stations, and dozens of TV stations started. Kenyans felt free to express their views. The economy grew by 7 percent and above. But what do we remember Kibaki for? The post election violence of 2007/08. While the violence was about something else- it was about a feeling by Kalenjins that they had been kicked out of jobs unfairly, and unceremoniously chased away from big positions.