Saturday, 27th August 2016.
William Ruto went out too early- In total disregard to the second in command personality rule.

There is nothing wrong in being ambitious- for ambition begets power in the long run. But one William Samoei Arap Ruto has totally got it wrong on the basic rules of power. He has got out too early. Yes, he got a silver medal in 2013, and now wants to upgrade that to gold in 2022. My God!! 2022 sounds so far away, for in politics, one only focuses on the meal at hand- not the meal that is being cooked in the kitchen- just my take.
A person of Ruto’s stature and position ought to display the second in command personality mien. This simply means that one appears as not threatening at all, always willing to do the bidding for his boss. Always appearing harmonious and at peace with everyone- and even feigning stupidity at times. But beneath this humble mien should be a cold and calculating politician that can pounce and rattle at will if and when desirable- and more so, when it comes to a succession battle. This is the only way that a Deputy President rises to the apex of political power. For in effect, the second in command personality types are typical CID or intelligence recruits- that is, by the time they have done their mess, they are already gone and it is usually too late in the game to try and catch up with them.

Look at the previous successful second in command types. Daniel Arap Moi- described as a passing cloud by the then dreaded Kiambu mafia- but going on to outsmart the 1970s ‘change the constitution brigade’ led by the likes of the late Kihika Kimani. Moi eventually went on to rule for 24 good years. Another successful one- Mwai Kibaki- defeating KANU is like cutting the mugumo tree with a razor blade and expecting it to fall. He went on to vanquish the same KANU and hand its prince, Uhuru Kenyatta, the first lesson in politics- that nothing is ever handed to anyone on a silver platter- probably a good lesson to all these political retirees and opportunists going to statehouse for some handouts. Still an addition of a successful second in command type-South Sudan’s Salva Kiir- taking orders from SPLM’s John Garang, almost to the point of being humiliated by the inner circle of Garang- but then going on to take over the leadership mantle of South Sudan through the unseen hand of fate in the death of John Garang in 2006.

Example after example, we see that there is only one way for a second in command person- the Deputy President or the Vice President- to rise to the apex of power. Feign innocence, naivety, loyalty, and even some stupidity. But then counterweight this undercover mien with the strike of a python. I’m afraid it’s too late for William Ruto to mend his ways. This time, rather than him being a predator that he usually claims he is, he will be the prey.

For in essence, Jubilee will not be sent packing by a revolutionary in the model of Raila- for Raila was compromised beyond repair in the nusu mkate government. It will be kicked out by a faceless movement that mutates, adapts, spreads, and attacks at will. For in essence, the essential difference between a revolution and a movement is that whereas you can chop off the head of a revolutionary leader by death or compromising of its leader and sabotage the whole revolution, a movement is immortal- it is fed by everyone within its rank and file because everyone has bought and internalized its core message. A tornado style movement is the only way that this arrogant chest thumping UhuRuto pair will be kicked out of power. And it could be sooner than expected.

Project Kenya

Project Kenya
Friday, 26th August 2016.
What would a 1960 Mboya- Moi ticket have looked like?

Earlier on, I had suggested that Kenya should have gained its independence in 1960, and not in 1963. Remember that in 1963, there was a counterweight to KANU. There was a party known as KADU. Do you think it folded shop just like that? I don’t think so. I think that they were promised the Vice Presidency slot through Daniel Arap Moi, in effect becoming a deputy to Tom Mboya. At that time, Tom Mboya was KANU damu. He was the heart and soul of the party, even if not among its founding members. KANU was filled mainly by kikuyus and Luos, who at the time were best of friends, not the bitter adversaries they are today.
On the other hand, Daniel Arap Moi was KADU damu. He had the mien of the typical second in command personality. Never really appearing as a threat- but beneath simmering with ambition of a cold calculating nature. This was a perfect balance. Tom Mboya-a visionary and a threat to everyone, sometimes even to himself, and Daniel Arap Moi, a harmonious personality who could balance things on all sides. KADU was a federalist party that was formed principally because the smaller tribes feared domination by the bigger tribes, ostensibly, the kikuyus and the Luos. So, among its rank and file were Coastals, Luhyas, and kalenjins.

What would have a 1960 Mboya- Moi Presidency ticket have in store for Kenya? How different would Kenya have been? Personally, I think Kenya would have changed profoundly. First, I think we would have had a first class managerial- professional economy- along the lines of Belgium or Netherlands. I suspect that Tom Mboya’s soul is still the one running PWC- the first class auditing and consultancy firm that is still one of the few bright spots in our corruption ridden country. Let’s also not forget that Tom Mboya was the initiator of the Kennedy scholarships in East Africa. He is the unsung heroe in Barrack Obama’s rise to prominence. It’s unfortunate that Barrack Obama- his ideological heir – would become an exuberant but ineffective prophet for African Americans- but that’s a story for another day.

So, in a nutshell, in a Mboya-Moi ticket arrangement- Kenya would be teeming with knowledge start ups and consultancies, where it wouldn’t be necessary to venture out of the country, or be consumed by tribalist base politics, to make your millions. I also suspect that Tom Mboya had some Zanzibar black slave heritage- and I put forward that this is the reason that he dealt with all blacks as the same- even as the other independence leaders at the time were being consumed with ‘siasa za huyu ni mtu wetu’. ‘Tunamalizwa’. So, aside from Kenya just becoming an economic powerhouse-Singapore, Belgium, or Netherlands style, we would also be a social politically stable country. And you need all these three pillars- economic, social, and political, before you can even begin laying claim to the superpower status. Even though we praise the Asian Tigers so much for their economic upsurge, we must remember that beneath that growth there is still some underlying currents, as the ethnic populations feel that the migrant Chinese are the ones who benefitted most from these tigers fast rise. I think that this is a path that the Mboya- Moi ticket would have avoided.

But since this history is behind us, I think it’s about time the Mboya- Moi ticket was returned. Not necessarily in name, but in attribute. It will usher in an age of new leadership in the country. A leadership where ideas- rather than noise- triumph.

Friday, 26th August 2016.
Is Kenya right in aspiring for Africa’s Superpower status? Can Uhuru take us in that direction? I think not.

Kenya is a kind of America in the region. It seeks that South Sudan has peace. It encourages Tanzania to have a more appreciative climate for business people, and thereby, expand Kenya’s fledging multinationals in the country. Even more, it wants Ugandan and Tanzanian workers to be more hard working- I don’t know who came up with this idea that Ugandans and Tanzanians are predisposed to laziness- much like the European thinks of the African as naturally lazy. Remember, we’ve not even included Somalia’s never ending internal wars and terrorist insurgencies, and you get a feeling that Kenya is punching far above its weight.
Kenyans like to think of themselves as the natural conquerors of Africa. We don’t even take this Africa Union thing seriously and think that we can stride along on our own. Every Kenyan thumps his chest and brags about our exceptionalism. That we are the cream of the crop in Africa. But does it really have any basis? Do we deserve to take the African crown in all its splendor? I don’t think so. For one, we don’t have a cultural foundation- Nigeria has one. Who is a Kenyan? I guarantee you that you will not tell us. We don’t have a Kenyan beat, much as Mali has the famed Kora, or Tanzania has the Bongo flavor. Look at how our quest for the national dress flopped? Middle class Kenyans programs like ‘Mali’ on NTV are struggling for ratings. Heck, Nation FM closed down because it was catering to a non- existent group- the Kenyan middle class.

Other than that, I think Nigeria should be the natural pretenders to the throne of Africa. They have a cultural foundation. Everyone on the Kenyan streets has at least heard or used the term ‘oga’. Their movie sounds fill our sitting rooms. Their Igbos- the Nigerian kikuyus- are hated yes, but they get the job done. They start, run, expand, and sustain their businesses. In terms of projecting its hegemony and furthering African interests globally- Look at who sponsors all the African programs on CNN? They are all Nigerian or West African companies. Zenith bank, Glo, and the Dangote Group are just some of them. Kenya’s safaricom on the other hand makes gazillion shillings profit a minute, and yet, it is nowhere to be found in such matters- telling a people who they are.

But more essentially, our middle class are basically Black Europeans. Yes, they have kikuyu, coast, or Kalenjin surnames- but with sophisticated European cultural tastes. No wonder banks are laughing all the way to their profits as these people seek to upgrade their sitting rooms, TV sets, and even accents to match what they have seen in Western movies. The only thing that has made Nigeria not to be a superpower is Nigeria is oil- I know it’s an oxymoron. But it’s true- for oil fosters bad governance. If they sort out the oil menace, we will never catch up with them.

Coming to the leader who is supposed to guide this sinking Kenyan ship and rescue it- President Uhuru Kenyatta- my take is that he has not achieved anything in the last four years. The laptop project flopped. Road construction stopped. There was a hiring freeze. If a President can be this lame duck in his first term- what about his second term? Look, Kibaki- free Primary education- day one, Moi- peace and stability- day one, Jomo Kenyatta, empowering African indigenous businesses- day one. And Uhuru Kenyatta- zilch. Yes, one could say but this parliament has enacted many progressive laws, but no, none of this has emanated, or been engineered by President Kenyatta. He has not had any earth shattering legislation to speak of. Don’t talk about yesterday’s signing of a bill to cap bank interest rates- that didn’t emanate from him but from the Kiambu town MP- Jude Njomo. My argument is simple. If a President is this lame duck in his first term, he will be a disaster in his second term. He doesn’t deserve to be reelected. He should not be reelected. It will make us East Africa’s laughing stock. It will make us Africa’s, and the world’s forgotten case.

Wednesday, 24th August 2016.
Uhuru Kenyatta is a CEO, But Kenya needs a Managing Director.

On Sunday, I argued that Cord leader Raila Odinga is probably a good leader, but not a manager. For essentially, a leader gives vision, a manager deals with complexity. So, while Raila is good in chanting up crowds on what Kenya should be, he is totally inept on how to realize this heavenly Kenya that he so badly cherishes. Uhuru Kenyatta on the other hand, is a great CEO, but a totally inept managing director. Kenya at present needs a managing director.
The BBC World’s long running Global business host, Peter Day, gave an essential difference between a managing director (MD), and the CEO. He said that once in a while, the MD visits the factory floor. Indeed, he was promoted from the factory floor. An MD finds out how his workers are doing. He meets with salespeople. He knows how the customers view his company and his products. When the company is facing upheaval from the market, he recommends product improvement, not blanket firing of people. On the other hand, a CEO sits at the corner office, never visits the factory floor, and does not know how his company is fairing from a hands on perspective. When the financial reports are not good, he recommends a blanket firing of people, and usually, the most dedicated employees are the first ones to go as the production budget shifts to the marketing department.

President Kenyatta has presided over Kenya as a CEO. He is largely out of tune with the hoi polloi of Kenya. I suspect he’s the world’s most travelled President, and has clocked thousands of air miles in his short 4 years in office. The visiting dignitaries like John Kerry are made to believe that Kenya is the greatest country in Africa. More like a CEO cheats investors that the company and employees are doing well only to get media reports of an impending essential company shutdown. I would recommend that Mr. Kenyatta, if he must travel, if he is addicted to travelling, that he becomes like the 1860s Japanese student that went to study in America. This student went to learn and adapt what happens in America to Japan. That experiment- or was it theft- was a resounding success. It made the West take notice of Asia. It propelled Japan as the poster child of advancement of the Asian people. Japan is now the world’s third largest economy as a result of the initiative that began way back in the 1860s.

Mr. Kenyatta does not adapt the best practices of wherever he travels and visits. I really don’t know what he does on his foreign trips abroad. I for one think they are totally unnecessary. Why doesn’t he for example adapt the desert farming in Israel and adapt it to ukambani. Wonders will never cease. The Uhuru administration has bungled form project to project. It has made nonsense of our forefathers fight for independence. It has ushered in an era of absolute low standards.

Mr. Kenyatta chose to be a CEO at a terrible time in our history. He has barely time left to shift and become an MD. For Kenya is essentially a start up that is laden with many problems, but which can be turned into resounding business success. A start up succeeds because of its MD, not its CEO. A CEO eats, fleeces, and eventually uses his Harvard or UON degree to continue eating from another company after he’s been fired form the first one. Isn’t this what Kenyatta is doing. Using his pedigree to eat and fleece Kenyans even though in really, he is a European aristocrat per excellence? It’s why August 2017 must be the turning point for Kenya. It must be the point where we totally separate Kenya from Uhuru Kenyatta. It is the only way to make Kenya an economic colossus.

Tuesday, 23rd August 2016.
2017 will be a do or die for Gideon Moi, but also for Kenya’s political dynasties.

The eagle does one simple experiment when it wants to determine which chick it will nurture, and which it will let go and die. A few weeks after it has determined that all its chicks have reached the sufficient stage to get off the nest, it carries the chicks, one by one, to an altitude of about a kilometer above. One by one, the eagle drops the chick from its leg, and lets it drop down. Whichever chick will not have learnt to fly crushes to the ground and dies. The chick that flies reconnects with the eagle, and a strong familial bond ensues- simply because the chick has passed the test to inherit its parent.
2017 will be the second eagle child crushing moment for one Gideon Moi. He missed the 2002 one where William Ruto managed to pass him to the podium places, and thereafter, assure himself of at least a silver medal in 2013. He wants to upgrade to gold in 2022. Yes, Gideon Moi has his father’s name, but he lacks his father’s political gravitas. His father was essentially a peasant through and through. Gideon Moi is a Belgian aristocrat. For one, he only foots a bill which he has consumed- the complete opposite of his father. On the other hand, William Ruto does not have Moi’s surname, but seeks to inherit Moi’s political gravitas. It’s a chase that is still ongoing.

Look, 2017 should be the year when our political dynasties should come to an end. This age old British inheritance should be consigned to its death bed next year. It breeds arrogance. It breeds resentment. It fosters an undercutting of a nation’s ability. Can you imagine a nation where everyone will have to go and inherit his father’s job? Would we not have created a permanent caste system, where if you are a poor, reclusive, and unknown character, your children and grandchildren will remain mired in poverty forever? I don’t this is the kind of Kenyan society we want to develop. The commoners work cannot be just to appear at high end parties of these aristocrats, and act as socialites, whereas the children of the ruling class discuss the serious issues at hand.

For let’s remember one thing. Uhuru Kenyatta is not Jomo Kenyatta. For one, he is not an economic manager while his father was. Parastatals like KCC and Rivatex blossomed under Jomo. Chris Kirubi didn’t have to import three piece suits from Italy as he does at present. In Jomo’s time, all he had to do was to make a call to Rivatex and the three piece suit would be delivered to him. And it was proudly Kenyan made, with the best quality you could find anywhere in the world. Uhuru on the other hand, is a professor of mismanagement. KCC is floundering as he competes with it through Brookside. KBC is cash strapped as he competes with it through K24. Did he go to statehouse to make money for himself, or to steer Kenya forward? So, this comment ‘ati yeye ni kama baba yake’ should stop. The two have nothing in common. Look, Amina Mohammed is the only reason why the Uhuru administration is getting some PR milestones. Take her out of the picture and this government collapses like a house of cards. Also, Raila is not Jaramogi, for Jaramogi I suspect, could tolerate an honest dissent, Raila cannot.

The way forward for Kenya is to go for the establishment democracy route. This is not communism where dissent is not tolerated, but a system where sub par candidates do not pass through the sieve. An establishment ensures that only scions ascend to the Presidency, most of whom are born as commoners at birth. For at its heart, an establishment system knows that Kenyatta I is not equal to Kenyatta II, Moi I is not equal to Moi II, and Odinga I is not equal to Odinga II. The eagle understands this well. Why can’t we?

Monday, 22nd August 2016.
What a Jomo Kenyatta Presidency would have looked like 38 years later.

Kenya’s founding President, Jomo Kenyatta, lived by many names. At his birth, he was Kamau wa Ngengi, then Johnstone Kamau in his youth, and finally Jomo Kenyatta in his sunset years. August 22nd,marks the 38th anniversary of his death. But what would his Presidency have looked like- 38 years later? I suspect that he is not as evil as his detractors often paint him. Sure, there were many assassinations during his tenure as President, but I don’t think we’ve examined all the prisms at the time.
Remember, in the 1960s leading up to the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, Africa’s heart and soul was at stake. The US wanted Africa, and the world, to adopt a capitalist democracy model, with widespread civil liberties and the infamous trickle down free markets economics that has been blamed for rising inequalities throughout the world. The USSR wanted a strong communist world or essentially, party state governments where dissent to the ruling regime would never be tolerated. (I hear Jubilee has invited China’s Communist Party to grace its launch next month, perhaps as an indicator of how they think things should turn for Kenya.)

In light of these global power plays, African Presidents received favors and threats in equal measure. The most infamous assassination during Kenyatta’s tenure was that of Tom Mboya- for which Luo Nyanza has never forgiven him. But, it must be remembered that the West is not just one homogenous group, even as they sit on the same ideological divide. In the 1960s, Britain and USA competed on every front. The United States wanted to vanquish the British Empire once and for all, but Britain would never go down easily. One historian pointed out that the sun would never set on the British Empire, and some Britons like Kenya’s own Massie Bloomfield still believe this. Bloomfield’s letters to the editor on Daily Nation have been filled with views on how British colonialism was a virtue rather than a vice.

As a matter of factly, Jomo Kenyatta was Britain’s candidate through and through; even as he vexed the often common anti Western rhetoric jabs that every African President likes to throw around. Tom Mboya, on the other hand, was an American in heart and soul. So, you can appreciate why there was a deadly clash between Britain and USA- through their proxies- Jomo Kenyatta and Tom Mboya, respectively. For you must remember that Britain would never let its crown jewel, Kenya, fall into the hands of America. It wanted to turn Kenya into Australia. America on the other hand, wanted to turn Kenya into Africa’s Israel- a thriving knowledge economy teeming with start ups Tel Aviv, Boston or Silicon Valley style. So much for the African peasant guiding the destiny of her country.

In hindsight, if the global power plays had not been there, I think Jomo Kenyatta would have made a great benevolent dictator- one in which Kenya would rank first among equals in the world’s living standards, but where dissent would not have been tolerated. But my point is precisely that we shouldn’t be too harsh on our first two Presidents; Jomo Kenyatta and Daniel Arap Moi. Ultimately, let’s remember that they were dealing with forces that were far beyond their control. It’s the only way we can reconcile their vision Vis a Vis their actions. Now, you can subscribe to receive Daily Campaign Articles.
Sunday, 21st August 2016.
Raila is probably a good leader, but not a good manager.

My persistent question to Cord leader Raila Odinga has always been this- How can you have that many people turning up for your rallies but you keep on losing the elections year in year out. In his defense, Raila has always maintained that it is because of IEBC that he has never climbed to the most powerful office in Kenya. But I think this only half explains the answer. I think there is something that happens in the ODM backroom in every election cycle. I suspect if a great journalist would have cared to find out, we would have a great story on our hands.
To find out why Raila comes so close to the Presidency yet so far, I had to jog my memory back to 2006, when I was still a lowly second year university student. Back in the day when Nation was Nation, they had a great management columnist by the name Sinha; I can’t remember his first name. He pointed out that the difference between leadership and management was simple. Leaders give vision, managers take care of complexity. And so, I would opine that Raila is great in turning up and making crowds chant on what Kenya should be, but totally incapable of managing the complex assignment of delivering a handy election win.

And I have my facts to prove this. In 2007, prior to the ODM nominations, he was leading by at least 10 percentage points. But when the nominations came, there were images of tires burning all over the country. Kasarani’s ODM nomination aspirant Roslyn Akumu image bemoaning Raila remains stuck in my memory. Independents like me that had not decided where to go thought that after all, this is just the same forest albeit with different monkeys-if you will excuse the pun. The last 2007 poll showed that they were tied with Kibaki at 44 percent, and that’s why the crisis of 2007/08 happened. Because in Africa, you have to drown your opponent- not just defeat him- for him to bow out gracefully.

Look, I know that Raila proclaims that Kenya should go the social democracy route, more in the model of Botswana in Africa, and Norway and Sweden in Europe. A social democrat believes that you can never put a worth on a teacher or a doctor. That’s why social democracies are profoundly public service economies, with great salary and working conditions for teachers and doctors. That’s why their businessmen run away to America, because their tax system is notorious.

Frankly, there are also other leaders in ODM and Cord who also share the same vision of a functioning Kenyan social democracy. Why have they not been given the same platform? Look at Kethi Kilonzo or Omar Hassan; they should have been advancing the social democracy route for Kenya alongside with Raila. James Orengo and Peter Anyang Nyong’o too used to be like this- but like Kiraitu Murungi, they mistakenly came up with the same conclusion- if the river always leads to the ocean, why change its course? Wouldn’t it swallow you? And they ended up being eaten by the river’s predators.

What I would really like to know from ODM insider is how Raila takes criticism. And I don’t mean the kind of talk shows on TV or newspaper columns- but a person who gives him a real frank personal assessment. Also, does he dismantle or co-opt competition? Until we find out this, then my conclusion is simple. He is two faced. Fighting for democracy in public, while disdaining it in private. It could be his real tragedy. It could be the reason why he should gracefully bow out of the current Presidential race.

Saturday,20th August 2016.
Jubilee will only be kicked out if the Kenyan middle class wakes up.

A certain segment of the Kenyan population is trapped. That is the Kilimani- Kileleshwa person. Kenyans earning beyond 250,000 per month up to a million shillings per month have a great identity crisis- and a huge one at that. They are not proper Europeans. They are not proper Africans. They are an artificial class. The Kilimani person cannot relate to the boda boda guy. They find the mama mboga irritating. This is why our politicians are having a field day- because they know even if the Kilimani person rants and screams, all they are trying to do is to make a quick buck. This is how all our politicians- including Raila- think. They are all cut from the same cloth.

Here is what I want the Kilimani person to do. Yes, have that Yale type conversation on issues. Discuss on how you want to change the world. Heck!! Even how we can make the world like Yale. But please, after that, step out of the podium, mingle with the hoi polloi. Go and play draft in a boda boda shed. Get to understand the boda boda person perspective and fears. Get to know how he thinks of the world. Be a CID officer. Internalize him. This will make you authentic. It will make the politician stop and know I have some real threat in here. It will give him sleepless nights. And that’s how to create a strong and powerful middle class that no politician will ever play with. Otherwise, all these talk shows on TV, social media rants, and Newspaper columns will just be that- rants that have no practical bearing on the ever theft prone Kenyan politician.

Look at Nigeria. I admire them. They are unashamedly African. I know they are a proud and boisterous lot. But beneath that, they are a people who know who they are. You can never put them down. Everyone outside of Nigeria thinks all Nigerians are drug traffickers and hackers with those annoying email scams. But they think not. Look at the CNN Africa Programs. They are all sponsored by Nigerian companies. Granted, Zenith Bank, Glo, or even Dangote Group, are not Microsoft or Google. But they get the job done. They put Africa on the map. Safaricom makes gazillion shillings every minute and yet it is nowhere to be found when it comes to what matters most. Reminding and reinforcing people on who they are. It is only oil that has kept Nigeria in poverty. I know it’s an oxymoron. But the truth is, oil fosters bad governance. If they get rid of this oil menace, they will be a superpower to watch.

It is time for the Kilimani person to be like the Nigerian. It is time for her to think lateral rather than vertical. Otherwise, she will always be passed over in her quest for leadership. Which would be a calamity- not just for herself- but for Kenya. Because our current political class- and I mean all- deserve nothing less than a complete extermination.

Campus Mirror

Sunday, 24 July 2011

Weighted Cluster Points.

This is just a small follow up article on the Joint admissions board.
If you had a look at the JAB article elsewhere on this article (then you will probably not need to read this article). The weighted cluster point is an aggregate of the overall aggregate points and the raw cluster points. The overall aggregate points is the points that you get for all the seven subjects taken in KCSE. Of course some candidates do more than the seven subjects but only seven subjects are required for the overall aggregate points. The aggregate points are written on the results slip. For instance, Grade A starts from an aggregate of 81 points.

The raw cluster points on the other hand are the four subjects that are deemed the most crucial for the study of a course. For instance, if one wanted to study electrical engineering, then the raw cluster points would be made up of Math, Physics, Chemistry and Biology/ Geography or any of the group subjects. The maximum raw cluster point is 48.

Now, the weighted cluster points are derivative of the overall points and the raw cluster ones. If you scored an overall point of 84 and you got a raw cluster point of 48, then your weighted cluster point will be 48. The weighted cluster points then begin dropping as your overall points and the raw cluster points keep on reducing. Due to the high competition for the limited courses, the weighted cluster points needed to enroll in courses has been increasing over the years. For instance, if one wanted to enroll for a degree of medicine as a regular student, they would have to score a weighted cluster point of about 47.7.

Enter your email address and Subscribe to get Daily Free articles on Kenyan Universities/Colleges news,Joint Admissions Board,Jobs, Career advice, scholarships and much more:

Delivered by FeedBurner

No comments:

Post a Comment